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Who to start · 2025-26

Jackson Blake vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Jackson BlakeJackson BlakeHurricanes · Right wingvsVladimir TarasenkoVladimir TarasenkoWild · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Blake has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Blake for 1.7 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Jackson Blake has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Blake's biggest edges: Corsi 60.4%, Fenwick 59.0%, Scoring chances 59.8%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Hits 60, Luck Meter +35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jackson Blake

1.44

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlakeTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.540.61
Assists (+1)0.380.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.20
Hits (+0.1)0.020.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Blake vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BlakeTarasenko
3Team record in 4 meetings1
3Points in those games1

Blake 2G 1A, 8 SOG · Tarasenko 0G 1A, 7 SOG

On the ice against each other (Blake's side)

1:31 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side

Shot attempts
2–2
50.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
12.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jackson Blake and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreBlakeTarasenko
2025-11-06CAR 4–3 MIN1G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-04CAR 3–5 DET1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-14CAR 4–2 DET0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-04CAR 2–1 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlakeTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Jackson Blake or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jackson Blake or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jackson Blake leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Blake and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 3–1. Blake had 3 points (2 goals) and Tarasenko had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →