Who to start · 2025-26
Jacob Trouba vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jacob Trouba projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Trouba has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Trouba for 2.2 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Trouba's biggest edges: Hits 143, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Goals above expected +2.7.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1000, Offensive-zone time 42.9%, Offensive-zone start % 53.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jacob Trouba
1.82
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jacob Trouba has the edge.
| Points per game from | Trouba | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.89 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Trouba vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Trouba 0G 2A, 18 SOG · Buchnevich 6G 4A, 27 SOG
Trouba blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 2 of Trouba's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Trouba's side)
6:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Trouba's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–5
- 61.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.1
- 75.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Trouba | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | ANA 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-01 | ANA 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-16 | ANA 2–7 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-07 | ANA 3–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-09 | ANA 2–6 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-25 | NYR 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-11 | NYR 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2023-04-06 | NYR 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-05 | NYR 6–4 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-02 | NYR 5–3 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2019-02-12 | WPG 4–3 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jacob Trouba
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −16.8 win%vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jacob Trouba or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jacob Trouba projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jacob Trouba or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Trouba and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Trouba's team went 4–7. Trouba had 2 points (0 goals) and Buchnevich had 10 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →