Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jacob Trouba vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82.

Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Trouba has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Trouba for 2.2 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Trouba's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Luck Meter +29, Forecheck xG /60 0.29.

Hertl's biggest edges: Ascension score 61, Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Offensive-zone start % 61.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jacob Trouba

1.82

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTroubaHertl
Goals (+2)0.230.63
Assists (+1)0.290.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.27
Hits (+0.1)0.180.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.890.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Trouba vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TroubaHertl
13Team record in 23 meetings10
11Points in those games16

Trouba 1G 10A, 48 SOG · Hertl 8G 8A, 51 SOG

9Hits on each other2
3Shots blocked by the other1

Trouba blocked 3 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Trouba's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Trouba's side)

34:46 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Trouba's side

Shot attempts
36–33
52.2%
Expected goals
1.6–1.8
46.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jacob Trouba and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreTroubaHertl
2026-05-14 · POANA 1–5 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-05-12 · POANA 2–3 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2026-05-10 · POANA 4–3 VGK0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2026-05-08 · POANA 2–6 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-05-06 · POANA 3–1 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-05-04 · POANA 1–3 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2026-02-01ANA 4–3 VGK0G 2A 3S1G 0A 1S
2025-11-22ANA 4–3 VGK0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-08ANA 4–3 VGK1G 1A 3S0G 0A 8S
2024-12-23ANA 1–3 VGK0G 0A 0S1G 1A 5S
2024-01-23NYR 2–3 SJS0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-03NYR 6–5 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TroubaHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jacob Trouba

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Jacob Trouba or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82. Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jacob Trouba or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Trouba and Hertl done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Trouba's team went 13–10. Trouba had 11 points (1 goals) and Hertl had 16 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →