Who to start · 2025-26
Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jaden Schwartz's 1.51.
Schwartz had 26 points in 50 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Schwartz has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Schwartz's 0.9.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Schwartz's biggest edges: Ascension score 55, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.049, Shorthanded points 1.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Scoring chances 59.3%, Fenwick 56.0%, Top skating speed 24.8.
Head to head on the dot, Schwartz leads MacKinnon 8–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jaden Schwartz
1.51
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schwartz | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.41 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schwartz vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Schwartz 11G 14A, 100 SOG · MacKinnon 24G 36A, 160 SOG
Schwartz's offensive zone 6–3 · neutral 2–2 · Schwartz's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2023-24)
Schwartz blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Schwartz's.
On the ice together
1:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 0–1
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.0
- —
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schwartz | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | SEA 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-11-05 | SEA 3–6 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 5A 4S |
| 2024-10-22 | SEA 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-13 | SEA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2023-11-09 | SEA 4–3 COL | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-10-17 | SEA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-30 · PO | SEA 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 9S |
| 2023-04-28 · PO | SEA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2023-04-26 · PO | SEA 3–2 COL | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | SEA 3–2 COL | 0G 1A 11S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-04-22 · PO | SEA 4–6 COL | 2G 0A 4S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2023-04-20 · PO | SEA 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 8S |
Latest 12 of 38 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jaden Schwartz
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to LWLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jaden Schwartz or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jaden Schwartz's 1.51. Schwartz had 26 points in 50 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jaden Schwartz or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Schwartz and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 38 games against each other in our data, Schwartz's team went 17–21. Schwartz had 25 points (11 goals) and MacKinnon had 60 (24 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Schwartz or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Schwartz has won 8 and MacKinnon 5 of their 13 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →