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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Mark Scheifele

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Scheifele has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Scheifele for 1.6 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.6%, Transition attempts /60 1.25, Expected goals 55.2%.

Scheifele's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.24, Hardest shot 86.9.

Head to head on the dot, Guentzel leads Scheifele 5–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Mark Scheifele

2.23

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelScheifele
Goals (+2)0.880.82
Assists (+1)0.580.77
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.050.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.27

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Scheifele

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelScheifele
10Team record in 16 meetings6
13Points in those games18

Guentzel 6G 7A, 46 SOG · Scheifele 9G 9A, 34 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other5

Guentzel's offensive zone 1–4 · neutral 0–0 · Guentzel's defensive zone 4–1 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Guentzel blocked 1 of Scheifele's shots; Scheifele blocked 0 of Guentzel's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

4:26 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
1–7
12.5%
Expected goals
0.0–0.5
1.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Mark Scheifele
DateScoreGuentzelScheifele
2026-03-05TBL 1–4 WPG0G 1A 5S1G 1A 4S
2026-01-29TBL 4–1 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-14TBL 4–1 WPG2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-03TBL 4–7 WPG0G 1A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-02-10PIT 1–2 WPG0G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2024-02-06PIT 3–0 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-13PIT 1–4 WPG0G 0A 3S2G 0A 4S
2022-11-19PIT 3–0 WPG1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-01-23PIT 3–2 WPG0G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-22PIT 3–1 WPG1G 0A 8S0G 0A 1S
2019-10-13PIT 7–2 WPG2G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2019-10-08PIT 1–4 WPG0G 1A 4S0G 3A 0S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelScheifele

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Mark Scheifele

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Mark Scheifele in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Mark Scheifele?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Scheifele done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 10–6. Guentzel had 13 points (6 goals) and Scheifele had 18 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Scheifele?
Against each other, Guentzel has won 5 and Scheifele 5 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →