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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Martin Necas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.20.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Necas has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Necas for 1.7 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Martin Necas has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Ascension score 53, Faceoffs won 209.

Necas's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.4, Top skating speed 23.9, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.57.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.20

fantasy points per game

Martin Necas

2.40

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelNecas
Goals (+2)0.880.91
Assists (+1)0.580.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Necas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelNecas
5Team record in 13 meetings8
12Points in those games3

Guentzel 3G 9A, 24 SOG · Necas 2G 1A, 34 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other0

Guentzel's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Guentzel's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25)

1Hits on each other1
0Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

7:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
5–5
50.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
32.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Martin Necas
DateScoreGuentzelNecas
2026-01-06TBL 4–2 COL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-04TBL 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-07TBL 3–2 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-11TBL 4–1 CAR0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-21PIT 2–1 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-18PIT 2–4 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-14PIT 1–2 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-22PIT 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S1G 0A 6S
2022-12-18PIT 2–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2022-11-29PIT 2–3 CAR1G 1A 4S1G 0A 5S
2022-02-20PIT 3–4 CAR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-13PIT 4–2 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelNecas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Martin Necas

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.7 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Martin Necas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.20. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Martin Necas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Necas done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 5–8. Guentzel had 12 points (3 goals) and Necas had 3 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Necas?
Against each other, Guentzel has won 2 and Necas 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →