Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Mike Matheson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guentzel for 1.5 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 63.0%, High-danger chances 55.6%, Offensive-zone time 44.0%.
Matheson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 100.6, Top skating speed 22.8, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Mike Matheson
1.80
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Matheson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.01 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.96 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Matheson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 10G 16A, 70 SOG · Matheson 2G 8A, 37 SOG
Guentzel blocked 1 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 5 of Guentzel's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
57:00 at 5-on-5 over 11 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 45–45
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.9–2.7
- 42.1%
- Goals
- 3–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Matheson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 · PO | TBL 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-05-01 · PO | TBL 1–0 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-29 · PO | TBL 2–3 MTL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-26 · PO | TBL 3–2 MTL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-24 · PO | TBL 2–3 MTL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-04-21 · PO | TBL 3–2 MTL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-19 · PO | TBL 3–4 MTL | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-04-09 | TBL 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-31 | TBL 1–4 MTL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-28 | TBL 5–4 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-09 | TBL 6–1 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-09 | TBL 5–3 MTL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Mike Matheson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Matheson done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 13–11. Guentzel had 26 points (10 goals) and Matheson had 10 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →