Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Mikko Rantanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.20.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Corsi 53.3%, Goals above expected +1.6, Fenwick 52.1%.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.8, Hardest shot 87.1, On-ice PDO 1046.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.81 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Rantanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 9G 8A, 47 SOG · Rantanen 2G 9A, 44 SOG
Guentzel blocked 1 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 1 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
6:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–4
- 63.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.0
- 94.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | TBL 4–1 DAL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-30 | TBL 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-20 | TBL 3–2 DAL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-25 | TBL 8–2 COL | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-30 | TBL 5–2 COL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-26 | PIT 4–0 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-22 | PIT 5–2 COL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-02-07 | PIT 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 10S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-05 | PIT 4–6 COL | 1G 1A 7S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2022-04-02 | PIT 2–3 COL | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2019-10-16 | PIT 3–2 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2018-12-04 | PIT 6–3 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.20. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Mikko Rantanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Rantanen done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 10–5. Guentzel had 17 points (9 goals) and Rantanen had 11 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →