Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guentzel for 1.5 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Power-play share 81.1%, Power-play time per game 3:58, Power-play points 30.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Hardest shot 90.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.21
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 9G 3A, 30 SOG · Kelly 2G 1A, 9 SOG
Guentzel's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 0–0 · Guentzel's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
4:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 31.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | TBL 4–2 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-04 | TBL 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-25 | TBL 8–2 COL | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-30 | TBL 5–2 COL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-17 | CAR 7–2 OTT | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | PIT 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-28 | PIT 2–5 OTT | 1G 0A 10S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-20 | PIT 4–1 OTT | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-18 | PIT 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-13 | PIT 3–6 OTT | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Kelly done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 5–5. Guentzel had 12 points (9 goals) and Kelly had 3 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Kelly?
- Against each other, Guentzel has won 2 and Kelly 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →