Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Luck Meter +40, Plus/minus +13, On-ice PDO 1023.
Hertl's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.096, Hardest shot 89.5, Faceoff win % 57.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 6G 8A, 33 SOG · Hertl 7G 2A, 42 SOG
Guentzel's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–1 · Guentzel's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
8:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–7
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.0
- 98.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | TBL 6–3 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-26 | TBL 2–1 VGK | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-23 | TBL 2–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-10-17 | TBL 4–3 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-04 | PIT 10–2 SJS | 2G 2A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-02-14 | PIT 3–1 SJS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-28 | PIT 4–6 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-15 | PIT 2–1 SJS | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2022-01-02 | PIT 8–5 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-02-21 | PIT 0–4 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2019-01-15 | PIT 2–5 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 3G 0A 3S |
| 2018-01-30 | PIT 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Hertl done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 8–5. Guentzel had 14 points (6 goals) and Hertl had 9 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Hertl?
- Against each other, Guentzel has won 2 and Hertl 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →