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Who to start · 2025-26

Jared Spurgeon vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Goals above expected +0.9, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.045.

Miller's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Penalty minutes 33, Hardest shot 102.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jared Spurgeon

1.55

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSpurgeonMiller
Goals (+2)0.140.42
Assists (+1)0.250.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.20
Hits (+0.1)0.100.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.910.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SpurgeonMiller
13Team record in 18 meetings5
6Points in those games11

Spurgeon 1G 5A, 32 SOG · Miller 5G 6A, 44 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other1

Spurgeon blocked 2 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 1 of Spurgeon's.

On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)

10:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side

Shot attempts
17–9
65.4%
Expected goals
1.5–0.2
86.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jared Spurgeon and J.T. Miller
DateScoreSpurgeonMiller
2026-03-14MIN 2–4 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-20MIN 3–1 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S
2025-04-02MIN 4–5 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-13MIN 2–3 NYR0G 2A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-07MIN 0–2 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-03-02MIN 2–1 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-10MIN 3–0 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2022-10-20MIN 4–3 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-21MIN 6–3 VAN1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-24MIN 3–2 VAN0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2021-10-26MIN 3–2 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2020-02-19MIN 4–3 VAN0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SpurgeonMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Jared Spurgeon or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Spurgeon and Miller done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 13–5. Spurgeon had 6 points (1 goals) and Miller had 11 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →