Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jared Spurgeon vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Power-play share 32.6%, Power-play time per game 1:28, Offensive-zone time 42.2%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Luck Meter +79, Plus/minus +41.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jared Spurgeon

1.55

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSpurgeonSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.140.44
Assists (+1)0.250.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.14
Hits (+0.1)0.100.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.910.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SpurgeonSamuelsson
2Team record in 5 meetings3
3Points in those games1

Spurgeon 0G 3A, 8 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 2 SOG

On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)

5:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side

Shot attempts
9–3
75.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.1
90.6%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Jared Spurgeon and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreSpurgeonSamuelsson
2026-01-17MIN 5–4 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-29MIN 2–3 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-22MIN 4–1 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-07MIN 5–6 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-04MIN 4–5 BUF0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SpurgeonSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Spurgeon and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 2–3. Spurgeon had 3 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →