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Who to start · 2025-26

Jason Robertson vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Robertson has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Robertson for 2.6 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

Jason Robertson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Robertson's biggest edges: Power-play share 81.6%, Offensive-zone time 45.5%, Power-play time per game 3:51.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +4.6, 20+ mph bursts 93.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jason Robertson

2.44

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRobertsonSamuelsson
Goals (+2)1.030.44
Assists (+1)0.580.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.230.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.14
Hits (+0.1)0.050.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Robertson vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RobertsonSamuelsson
4Team record in 7 meetings3
11Points in those games1

Robertson 4G 7A, 30 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 10 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Robertson blocked 1 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Robertson's.

On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)

10:17 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side

Shot attempts
18–4
81.8%
Expected goals
1.1–0.1
95.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jason Robertson and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreRobertsonSamuelsson
2025-12-31DAL 1–4 BUF0G 1A 8S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-31DAL 4–2 BUF1G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-22DAL 2–4 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-09DAL 10–4 BUF0G 3A 9S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-23DAL 2–3 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-27DAL 4–2 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-01-20DAL 5–4 BUF2G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RobertsonSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jason Robertson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.6 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jason Robertson or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jason Robertson or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jason Robertson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Robertson and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 4–3. Robertson had 11 points (4 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →