Who to start · 2025-26
John Tavares vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Tavares has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Tavares for 1.7 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.
John Tavares has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Hardest shot 88.5, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
Rielly's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.63, Ascension score 60, Goals above expected +2.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Tavares
1.80
fantasy points per game
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Tavares has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tavares | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tavares vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tavares 1G 0A, 5 SOG · Rielly 1G 1A, 4 SOG
Tavares blocked 6 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 0 of Tavares's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
432:02 at 5-on-5 over 80 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 460–442
- 51.0%
- Expected goals
- 20.7–23.1
- 47.2%
- Goals
- 21–32
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tavares | Rielly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-30 | NYI 4–5 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2018-02-22 | NYI 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Tavares or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Tavares or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Tavares leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tavares and Rielly done against each other?
- In 2 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 0–2. Tavares had 1 points (1 goals) and Rielly had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →