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Who to start · 2025-26

John Tavares vs Thomas Harley

John TavaresJohn TavaresMaple Leafs · CentrevsThomas HarleyThomas HarleyStars · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.

Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Tavares has 1 game left; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.

John Tavares has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Hardest shot 88.5, Goals 31.

Harley's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Blocked shots 148, Transition attempts /60 0.36.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Tavares

1.80

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTavaresHarley
Goals (+2)0.670.16
Assists (+1)0.490.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.16
Hits (+0.1)0.090.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tavares vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TavaresHarley
4Team record in 7 meetings3
8Points in those games3

Tavares 4G 4A, 17 SOG · Harley 0G 3A, 12 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)

14:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side

Shot attempts
16–11
59.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.7
58.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between John Tavares and Thomas Harley
DateScoreTavaresHarley
2026-04-13TOR 5–6 DAL1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-21TOR 1–5 DAL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-14TOR 1–4 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-07TOR 5–4 DAL1G 2A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-26TOR 4–1 DAL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-07TOR 4–3 DAL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-15TOR 4–0 DAL1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TavaresHarley

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.4 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start John Tavares or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Tavares or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Tavares leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tavares and Harley done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 4–3. Tavares had 8 points (4 goals) and Harley had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →