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Who to start · 2025-26

Jonathan Marchessault vs Macklin Celebrini

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jonathan Marchessault's 1.09.

Marchessault had 31 points in 62 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Marchessault has 1 game left; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Marchessault's 1.1.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchessault's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Hits 75.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Luck Meter +76, Blocked shots 53.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jonathan Marchessault

1.09

fantasy points per game

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchessaultCelebrini
Goals (+2)0.361.03
Assists (+1)0.290.99
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.37
Hits (+0.1)0.110.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.070.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchessault vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchessaultCelebrini
5Team record in 6 meetings1
8Points in those games6

Marchessault 1G 7A, 12 SOG · Celebrini 5G 1A, 23 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Marchessault's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Marchessault's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Marchessault's side)

7:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchessault's side

Shot attempts
6–6
50.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.7
6.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jonathan Marchessault and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreMarchessaultCelebrini
2026-04-13NSH 2–3 SJS0G 0A 0S2G 0A 2S
2026-04-04NSH 6–3 SJS0G 1A 3S1G 0A 5S
2026-03-24NSH 6–3 SJS0G 3A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-11NSH 3–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-23NSH 6–5 SJS0G 1A 4S1G 0A 8S
2025-01-21NSH 7–5 SJS1G 2A 4S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchessaultCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jonathan Marchessault

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Jonathan Marchessault or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jonathan Marchessault's 1.09. Marchessault had 31 points in 62 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jonathan Marchessault or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchessault and Celebrini done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Marchessault's team went 5–1. Marchessault had 8 points (1 goals) and Celebrini had 6 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Marchessault or Celebrini?
Against each other, Marchessault has won 0 and Celebrini 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →