Who to start · 2025-26
Jonathan Marchessault vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jonathan Marchessault's 1.09.
Marchessault had 31 points in 62 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Marchessault has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Marchessault's 1.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 31 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Marchessault's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033, Hits 75.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, 20+ mph bursts 455, Plus/minus +57.
Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Marchessault 16–12.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jonathan Marchessault
1.09
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchessault | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.36 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchessault vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchessault 16G 11A, 97 SOG · MacKinnon 13G 25A, 150 SOG
Marchessault's offensive zone 4–11 · neutral 7–4 · Marchessault's defensive zone 1–1 (2017-18 to 2024-25)
Marchessault blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Marchessault's.
On the ice against each other (Marchessault's side)
9:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Marchessault's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–7
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 52.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchessault | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NSH 2–4 COL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-12-09 | NSH 4–3 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 7S |
| 2025-11-22 | NSH 0–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | NSH 2–1 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2024-12-14 | NSH 2–5 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-11 | NSH 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-11-02 | NSH 5–2 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2024-04-14 | VGK 4–3 COL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-01-10 | VGK 0–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2023-11-04 | VGK 7–0 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-27 | VGK 0–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-10-22 | VGK 2–3 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 7S |
Latest 12 of 37 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jonathan Marchessault
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.2 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jonathan Marchessault or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jonathan Marchessault's 1.09. Marchessault had 31 points in 62 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jonathan Marchessault or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 31 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchessault and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 37 games against each other in our data, Marchessault's team went 17–20. Marchessault had 27 points (16 goals) and MacKinnon had 38 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchessault or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Marchessault has won 12 and MacKinnon 16 of their 28 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →