Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Josh Manson vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48.

Manson had 31 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Manson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Manson's 1.1.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Manson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.058, Hits 174, Penalty minutes 91.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.3, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Power-play time per game 4:13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Josh Manson

1.48

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMansonMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.121.49
Assists (+1)0.370.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.46
Hits (+0.1)0.210.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Manson vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MansonMacKinnon
3Team record in 11 meetings8
2Points in those games15

Manson 0G 2A, 15 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 11A, 54 SOG

3Hits on each other0
5Shots blocked by the other0

Manson blocked 5 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Manson's.

4Goals set up by the other15

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

281:25 at 5-on-5 over 85 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
339–270
55.7%
Expected goals
18.3–11.2
62.2%
Goals
27–8

Games against each other

Games between Josh Manson and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreMansonMacKinnon
2022-01-02ANA 2–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 3A 6S
2021-04-11ANA 1–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 7S
2021-04-09ANA 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S
2021-03-29ANA 2–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 7S
2020-02-21ANA 0–1 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2019-03-15ANA 5–3 COL0G 1A 1S1G 1A 7S
2019-03-03ANA 2–1 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2018-11-18ANA 3–4 COL0G 0A 1S1G 2A 7S
2018-04-01ANA 4–3 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2018-01-15ANA 1–3 COL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2017-10-13ANA 1–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MansonMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Josh Manson

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Josh Manson or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48. Manson had 31 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Josh Manson or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Manson and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Manson's team went 3–8. Manson had 2 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 15 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →