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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.0 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 547, Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Hits 123.

Connor's biggest edges: Luck Meter +51, Ascension score 57, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerConnor
Goals (+2)0.421.02
Assists (+1)0.440.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.37
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerConnor
9Team record in 25 meetings16
20Points in those games31

Miller 8G 12A, 57 SOG · Connor 14G 17A, 86 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Miller's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Miller's defensive zone 1–0 (2020-21)

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Miller blocked 2 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 0 of Miller's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Kyle Connor
DateScoreMillerConnor
2026-03-22NYR 2–3 WPG0G 2A 2S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-11NYR 1–2 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-14VAN 1–6 WPG0G 0A 2S3G 1A 3S
2024-03-09VAN 5–0 WPG1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-17VAN 2–4 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2023-01-08VAN 4–7 WPG1G 2A 2S3G 0A 6S
2022-12-29VAN 2–4 WPG0G 0A 5S0G 2A 3S
2022-12-17VAN 1–5 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2022-01-27VAN 5–1 WPG3G 1A 5S0G 0A 5S
2021-12-10VAN 4–3 WPG0G 1A 5S1G 2A 6S
2021-11-19VAN 3–2 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2021-05-11VAN 0–5 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Connor done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 9–16. Miller had 20 points (8 goals) and Connor had 31 (14 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Connor?
Against each other, Miller has won 1 and Connor 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →