Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Leon Draisaitl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Draisaitl had 97 in 65 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Draisaitl has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Draisaitl for 2.0 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Leon Draisaitl has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Hardest shot 102.6, Blocked shots 34.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Ascension score 69, Plus/minus +13, Luck Meter +30.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Draisaitl 101–91.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leon Draisaitl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerDraisaitl
Goals (+2)0.421.19
Assists (+1)0.440.96
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.34
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.31
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.10

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Draisaitl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerDraisaitl
19Team record in 39 meetings20
40Points in those games57

Miller 12G 28A, 80 SOG · Draisaitl 26G 31A, 137 SOG

101Faceoffs against each other91

Miller's offensive zone 40–21 · neutral 11–16 · Miller's defensive zone 50–54 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

10Hits on each other2
5Shots blocked by the other0

Miller blocked 5 of Draisaitl's shots; Draisaitl blocked 0 of Miller's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

19:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
21–18
53.8%
Expected goals
1.1–0.4
71.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Leon Draisaitl
DateScoreMillerDraisaitl
2025-10-30NYR 4–3 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-14NYR 0–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-16NYR 1–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-23VAN 2–6 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 2A 2S
2025-01-18VAN 3–2 EDM0G 2A 1S2G 0A 2S
2024-11-09VAN 3–7 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2024-05-20 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-05-18 · POVAN 1–5 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2024-05-16 · POVAN 3–2 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-05-14 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2024-05-12 · POVAN 4–3 EDM0G 2A 2S1G 1A 5S
2024-05-10 · POVAN 3–4 EDM0G 2A 0S1G 3A 4S

Latest 12 of 39 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerDraisaitl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Leon Draisaitl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Draisaitl had 97 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Leon Draisaitl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leon Draisaitl leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Draisaitl done against each other?
In 39 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 19–20. Miller had 40 points (12 goals) and Draisaitl had 57 (26 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Draisaitl?
Against each other, Miller has won 101 and Draisaitl 91 of their 192 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →