Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Matt Roy

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMatt RoyMatt RoyCapitals · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.9%, Penalty minutes 33, Power-play share 73.3%.

Roy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Ascension score 50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerRoy
Goals (+2)0.420.05
Assists (+1)0.440.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.11
Hits (+0.1)0.180.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.261.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerRoy
10Team record in 19 meetings9
20Points in those games1

Miller 5G 15A, 41 SOG · Roy 0G 1A, 39 SOG

9Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other3

Miller blocked 0 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 3 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

8:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
19–6
76.0%
Expected goals
1.1–0.0
99.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Matt Roy
DateScoreMillerRoy
2026-04-05NYR 8–1 WSH1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-12NYR 0–1 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-05NYR 2–3 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-25VAN 2–1 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-08VAN 1–2 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-06VAN 3–6 LAK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-25VAN 2–3 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-05VAN 2–1 LAK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-29VAN 1–5 LAK0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2023-04-10VAN 0–3 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-02VAN 1–4 LAK0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-18VAN 3–2 LAK0G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerRoy

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Roy done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 10–9. Miller had 20 points (5 goals) and Roy had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →