Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Matthew Schaefer

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMatthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferIslanders · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.8, Plus/minus +13, Luck Meter +34.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.420.53
Assists (+1)0.440.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.27
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerSchaefer
0Team record in 3 meetings3
2Points in those games2

Miller 0G 2A, 5 SOG · Schaefer 1G 1A, 8 SOG

5Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 0 of Schaefer's shots; Schaefer blocked 1 of Miller's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

28:10 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
31–17
64.6%
Expected goals
1.7–0.3
83.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreMillerSchaefer
2026-01-29NYR 1–2 NYI0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-28NYR 2–5 NYI0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-11-08NYR 0–5 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Schaefer done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 0–3. Miller had 2 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →