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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Mattias Ekholm

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMattias EkholmMattias EkholmOilers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Power-play share 73.3%, 20+ mph bursts 147, Ice time per game 20:09.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Plus/minus +32, Transition attempts /60 0.80, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerEkholm
Goals (+2)0.420.13
Assists (+1)0.440.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.15
Hits (+0.1)0.180.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerEkholm
12Team record in 27 meetings15
24Points in those games16

Miller 8G 16A, 49 SOG · Ekholm 5G 11A, 49 SOG

5Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other4

Miller blocked 1 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 4 of Miller's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

11:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
10–11
47.6%
Expected goals
0.4–0.6
37.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreMillerEkholm
2025-10-30NYR 4–3 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-14NYR 0–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-23VAN 2–6 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-18VAN 3–2 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-09VAN 3–7 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-20 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-05-18 · POVAN 1–5 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-16 · POVAN 3–2 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-14 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2024-05-12 · POVAN 4–3 EDM0G 2A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-05-10 · POVAN 3–4 EDM0G 2A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-05-08 · POVAN 5–4 EDM1G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerEkholm

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Ekholm done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 12–15. Miller had 24 points (8 goals) and Ekholm had 16 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →