Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Mikhail Sergachev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.5%, Hits 123, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.0, Luck Meter +21, Transition attempts /60 0.49.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.81 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs Sergachev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 4G 6A, 32 SOG · Sergachev 1G 3A, 13 SOG
Miller blocked 0 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 2 of Miller's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-18 | VAN 2–3 UTA | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-12 | VAN 4–1 TBL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-19 | VAN 3–4 TBL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-18 | VAN 2–5 TBL | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-12 | VAN 4–5 TBL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-13 | VAN 1–2 TBL | 1G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-01-13 | VAN 2–4 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2020-01-07 | VAN 2–9 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2017-11-02 | NYR 2–1 TBL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Mikhail Sergachev?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and Sergachev done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 2–7. Miller had 10 points (4 goals) and Sergachev had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →