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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Luck Meter +45, On-ice PDO 1046, Ascension score 54.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Rantanen 8–8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerRantanen
Goals (+2)0.420.64
Assists (+1)0.440.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.21
Hits (+0.1)0.180.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerRantanen
7Team record in 16 meetings9
10Points in those games22

Miller 5G 5A, 28 SOG · Rantanen 12G 10A, 54 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other8

Miller's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 1–1 · Miller's defensive zone 5–7 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 1 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 1 of Miller's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

6:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
2–6
25.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
22.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreMillerRantanen
2026-04-11NYR 0–2 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-02NYR 3–2 DAL0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-16VAN 3–1 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-13VAN 3–4 COL1G 1A 2S1G 1A 5S
2024-02-20VAN 1–3 COL1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-22VAN 2–5 COL1G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2023-01-20VAN 1–4 COL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2023-01-05VAN 4–2 COL1G 0A 3S1G 0A 9S
2022-11-23VAN 4–3 COL0G 1A 3S2G 0A 4S
2022-03-23VAN 3–1 COL1G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-17VAN 2–4 COL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 2S
2021-11-11VAN 1–7 COL0G 1A 1S2G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Rantanen done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 7–9. Miller had 10 points (5 goals) and Rantanen had 22 (12 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Rantanen?
Against each other, Miller has won 8 and Rantanen 8 of their 16 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →