Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Noah Cates

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsNoah CatesNoah CatesFlyers · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123.

Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, On-ice PDO 1026.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Cates 7–7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerCates
Goals (+2)0.420.39
Assists (+1)0.440.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.16
Hits (+0.1)0.180.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerCates
3Team record in 7 meetings4
6Points in those games4

Miller 1G 5A, 13 SOG · Cates 0G 4A, 11 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other7

Miller's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 2–2 · Miller's defensive zone 4–3 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

8:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
13–7
65.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.1
83.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Noah Cates
DateScoreMillerCates
2026-02-26NYR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2026-01-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-20NYR 5–4 PHI0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-09NYR 5–8 PHI1G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2023-10-17VAN 0–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-18VAN 6–2 PHI0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-10-15VAN 2–3 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerCates

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Cates done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 3–4. Miller had 6 points (1 goals) and Cates had 4 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Cates?
Against each other, Miller has won 7 and Cates 7 of their 14 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →