Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
J.T. Miller has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.5%, Scoring chances 52.3%, Hardest shot 102.6.
Dobson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Luck Meter +25, Transition attempts /60 0.60.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 7G 11A, 35 SOG · Dobson 4G 4A, 28 SOG
Miller blocked 1 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 3 of Miller's.
On the ice against each other (Miller's side)
11:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–10
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 30.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | NYR 2–3 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5–4 MTL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-18 | NYR 4–3 MTL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-10 | NYR 9–2 NYI | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | NYR 4–0 NYI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-14 | VAN 2–5 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-09 | VAN 5–2 NYI | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-15 | VAN 4–3 NYI | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-02-09 | VAN 6–5 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-01-03 | VAN 2–6 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-03 | VAN 4–3 NYI | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-02-09 | VAN 3–6 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and Dobson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 10–4. Miller had 18 points (7 goals) and Dobson had 8 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →