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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Rasmus Dahlin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dahlin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123, Blocked shots 34.

Dahlin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Luck Meter +46, On-ice PDO 1020.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Rasmus Dahlin

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Dahlin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerDahlin
Goals (+2)0.420.46
Assists (+1)0.440.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.26
Hits (+0.1)0.180.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.48

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Dahlin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerDahlin
8Team record in 16 meetings8
16Points in those games20

Miller 4G 12A, 39 SOG · Dahlin 7G 13A, 35 SOG

6Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other0

Miller blocked 2 of Dahlin's shots; Dahlin blocked 0 of Miller's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

21:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
22–16
57.9%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
55.7%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Rasmus Dahlin
DateScoreMillerDahlin
2026-04-08NYR 3–5 BUF0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-08NYR 2–5 BUF0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-09NYR 4–0 BUF1G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-02-22NYR 2–8 BUF0G 2A 0S2G 2A 5S
2025-01-21VAN 2–3 BUF0G 1A 4S0G 2A 1S
2024-03-19VAN 3–2 BUF0G 2A 6S2G 0A 4S
2024-01-13VAN 1–0 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-15VAN 5–4 BUF1G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2022-10-22VAN 1–5 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2022-03-20VAN 2–3 BUF1G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2021-10-19VAN 2–5 BUF0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2020-01-11VAN 6–3 BUF1G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerDahlin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Rasmus Dahlin

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Rasmus Dahlin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Dahlin done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 8–8. Miller had 16 points (4 goals) and Dahlin had 20 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →