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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Robert Thomas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thomas has 1 left. We project Thomas for 1.9 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Robert Thomas has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Thomas's biggest edges: Plus/minus +22, Goals above expected +5.4, Luck Meter +53.

Head to head on the dot, Thomas leads Miller 39–34.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Robert Thomas

1.89

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Robert Thomas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerThomas
Goals (+2)0.420.73
Assists (+1)0.440.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.15
Hits (+0.1)0.180.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.29

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Thomas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerThomas
6Team record in 15 meetings9
16Points in those games11

Miller 7G 9A, 39 SOG · Thomas 5G 6A, 25 SOG

34Faceoffs against each other39

Miller's offensive zone 13–16 · neutral 10–8 · Miller's defensive zone 11–15 (2019-20 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

5:58 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
6–11
35.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.6
30.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Robert Thomas
DateScoreMillerThomas
2025-12-18NYR 2–1 STL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 6S
2025-01-27VAN 5–2 STL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-24VAN 3–4 STL0G 1A 0S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-04VAN 1–2 STL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2023-10-27VAN 5–0 STL1G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-28VAN 5–6 STL0G 2A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-02-23VAN 3–2 STL1G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-19VAN 1–5 STL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 1S
2022-03-30VAN 3–4 STL0G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2022-03-28VAN 1–4 STL0G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S
2020-01-27VAN 3–1 STL2G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-05VAN 1–2 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerThomas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Robert Thomas

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Robert Thomas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Robert Thomas leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Thomas done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 6–9. Miller had 16 points (7 goals) and Thomas had 11 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Thomas?
Against each other, Miller has won 34 and Thomas 39 of their 73 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →