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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left. We project Miller for 1.8 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.4.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Transition attempts /60 1.26, Luck Meter −6.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Nugent-Hopkins 41–40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.82

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.500.56
Assists (+1)0.530.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.18
Hits (+0.1)0.180.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerNugent-Hopkins
18Team record in 38 meetings20
39Points in those games33

Miller 13G 26A, 75 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 8G 25A, 83 SOG

41Faceoffs against each other40

Miller's offensive zone 19–16 · neutral 10–14 · Miller's defensive zone 12–10 (2017-18 to 2024-25)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Miller blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

2:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
2–1
66.7%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
—
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreMillerNugent-Hopkins
2025-10-30NYR 4–3 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-14NYR 0–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-16NYR 1–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 3A 0S
2025-01-23VAN 2–6 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-18VAN 3–2 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-09VAN 3–7 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-05-20 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2024-05-18 · POVAN 1–5 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 2A 1S
2024-05-16 · POVAN 3–2 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-05-14 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-05-12 · POVAN 4–3 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-05-10 · POVAN 3–4 EDM0G 2A 0S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 38 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.8 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.4 pts

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 38 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 18–20. Miller had 39 points (13 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 33 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Miller has won 41 and Nugent-Hopkins 40 of their 81 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →