Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Miller's 1.8.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Hardest shot 102.6, 20+ mph bursts 147.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Plus/minus +8, Goals above expected +1.2.
Head to head on the dot, Miller leads O'Reilly 83–82.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 9G 12A, 62 SOG · O'Reilly 2G 9A, 46 SOG
Miller's offensive zone 27–29 · neutral 20–25 · Miller's defensive zone 36–28 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Miller blocked 3 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Miller's.
On the ice against each other (Miller's side)
10:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–12
- 29.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 30.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | NYR 6–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-02 | NYR 4–0 NSH | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-29 | VAN 3–1 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-03 | VAN 0–3 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-17 | VAN 3–5 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | VAN 1–0 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | VAN 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | VAN 4–3 NSH | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | VAN 2–1 NSH | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | VAN 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | VAN 4–2 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-19 | VAN 5–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.8 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 16–11. Miller had 21 points (9 goals) and O'Reilly had 11 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Miller has won 83 and O'Reilly 82 of their 165 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →