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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Faceoffs won 547.

Meier's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.14, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17, Fenwick 54.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerMeier
Goals (+2)0.420.58
Assists (+1)0.440.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.35
Hits (+0.1)0.180.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerMeier
12Team record in 17 meetings5
20Points in those games15

Miller 6G 14A, 31 SOG · Meier 11G 4A, 61 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Miller's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Miller's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22)

3Hits on each other0
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

13:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
9–18
33.3%
Expected goals
0.2–1.4
14.9%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Timo Meier
DateScoreMillerMeier
2026-03-31NYR 4–1 NJD1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-18NYR 3–6 NJD0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S
2025-04-05NYR 0–4 NJD0G 0A 2S2G 0A 3S
2024-10-30VAN 0–6 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-05VAN 5–6 NJD1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-27VAN 6–2 SJS0G 0A 3S2G 0A 4S
2022-12-07VAN 6–5 SJS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-27VAN 4–3 SJS0G 2A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-09VAN 4–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 7S
2022-02-17VAN 5–4 SJS1G 1A 3S2G 1A 8S
2021-12-16VAN 5–2 SJS1G 2A 3S1G 0A 4S
2020-01-29VAN 5–2 SJS0G 2A 1S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Meier done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 12–5. Miller had 20 points (6 goals) and Meier had 15 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Meier?
Against each other, Miller has won 1 and Meier 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →