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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Trevor Zegras

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Hardest shot 102.6.

Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, Luck Meter +27, Transition attempts /60 1.69.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Zegras 10–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerZegras
Goals (+2)0.420.57
Assists (+1)0.440.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.19
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerZegras
8Team record in 13 meetings5
18Points in those games17

Miller 7G 11A, 30 SOG · Zegras 6G 11A, 30 SOG

10Faceoffs against each other5

Miller's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 2–3 · Miller's defensive zone 7–2 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

3Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 0 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 1 of Miller's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

23:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
28–21
57.1%
Expected goals
1.4–0.8
64.4%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreMillerZegras
2026-02-26NYR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2026-01-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 2A 2S1G 1A 3S
2025-12-20NYR 5–4 PHI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-28NYR 4–5 ANA1G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-05VAN 5–1 ANA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-31VAN 3–2 ANA0G 2A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-04-11VAN 3–2 ANA1G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S
2023-03-19VAN 2–1 ANA1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-08VAN 3–2 ANA2G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2022-11-03VAN 8–5 ANA1G 0A 4S1G 1A 6S
2022-02-19VAN 4–7 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 3A 2S
2021-11-14VAN 1–5 ANA0G 1A 3S2G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
How have Miller and Zegras done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 8–5. Miller had 18 points (7 goals) and Zegras had 17 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Zegras?
Against each other, Miller has won 10 and Zegras 5 of their 15 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →