Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Miller for 1.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.
J.T. Miller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Faceoffs won 547, 20+ mph bursts 147.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Luck Meter +14, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 9G 26A, 55 SOG · Toffoli 12G 11A, 91 SOG
Miller's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–1 · Miller's defensive zone 2–0 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Miller's side)
11:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–11
- 52.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.2
- 67.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | NYR 1–3 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-23 | NYR 5–6 SJS | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-29 | NYR 6–1 SJS | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-23 | VAN 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-02 | VAN 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-06 | VAN 6–4 NJD | 2G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-05 | VAN 5–6 NJD | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-08 | VAN 3–2 CGY | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-03-31 | VAN 4–5 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2022-12-31 | VAN 2–3 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-12-14 | VAN 4–3 CGY | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-23 | VAN 3–6 CGY | 0G 3A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.8 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 15–13. Miller had 35 points (9 goals) and Toffoli had 23 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Toffoli?
- Against each other, Miller has won 3 and Toffoli 2 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →