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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left. We project Miller for 1.8 ESPN points to Smith's 1.7.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, High-danger chances 54.5%, Blocked shots 34.

Smith's biggest edges: Ascension score 64, Luck Meter +40, Transition attempts /60 2.05.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerSmith
Goals (+2)0.420.90
Assists (+1)0.440.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.24
Hits (+0.1)0.180.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerSmith
3Team record in 5 meetings2
5Points in those games7

Miller 0G 5A, 10 SOG · Smith 2G 5A, 5 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other1

Miller's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · Miller's defensive zone 2–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

9:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
13–8
61.9%
Expected goals
0.6–0.5
51.2%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Will Smith
DateScoreMillerSmith
2026-01-23NYR 1–3 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-10-23NYR 5–6 SJS0G 2A 1S2G 2A 2S
2025-03-29NYR 6–1 SJS0G 2A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-23VAN 4–3 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-02VAN 3–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.8 pts

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Smith done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 3–2. Miller had 5 points (0 goals) and Smith had 7 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Smith?
Against each other, Miller has won 3 and Smith 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →