Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Justin Faulk vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.

Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Faulk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Faulk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.5, Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.52.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Sequence xG 54.3%, Expected goals 54.4%, On-ice PDO 1046.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFaulkRantanen
Goals (+2)0.380.64
Assists (+1)0.290.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.100.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.790.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Faulk vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FaulkRantanen
11Team record in 34 meetings23
16Points in those games39

Faulk 2G 14A, 74 SOG · Rantanen 17G 22A, 96 SOG

9Hits on each other1
5Shots blocked by the other5

Faulk blocked 5 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 5 of Faulk's.

On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)

18:50 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side

Shot attempts
19–11
63.3%
Expected goals
1.1–0.6
64.4%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Justin Faulk and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreFaulkRantanen
2026-02-04STL 4–5 DAL0G 2A 2S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-27STL 3–4 DAL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-23STL 2–3 DAL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-18STL 3–1 DAL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-19STL 3–4 COL0G 2A 1S3G 0A 5S
2023-12-29STL 1–2 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-11STL 8–2 COL0G 2A 3S1G 0A 4S
2023-11-01STL 1–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2023-02-18STL 1–4 COL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2023-01-28STL 2–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-12-11STL 2–3 COL0G 0A 2S3G 0A 5S
2022-11-14STL 3–2 COL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 34 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FaulkRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Justin Faulk or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Justin Faulk or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Faulk and Rantanen done against each other?
In 34 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 11–23. Faulk had 16 points (2 goals) and Rantanen had 39 (17 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →