Who to start · 2025-26
Justin Faulk vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Faulk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Faulk's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.7, Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +6.5.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05, Scoring chances 48.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Justin Faulk
1.81
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Faulk | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.79 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Faulk vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Faulk 5G 3A, 33 SOG · Toffoli 4G 5A, 41 SOG
Faulk blocked 2 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Faulk's.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Faulk | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-10 | STL 5–4 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-03 | STL 4–1 NJD | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-12 | STL 1–4 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-01-10 | STL 4–3 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-16 | STL 5–2 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-02 | STL 6–4 CGY | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-23 | STL 4–1 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-10-24 | STL 5–2 LAK | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-02-26 | CAR 6–1 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-12-02 | CAR 0–2 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Justin Faulk
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Justin Faulk or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Justin Faulk or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Faulk and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 10–4. Faulk had 8 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →