Who to start · 2025-26
Kevin Fiala vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kevin Fiala's 1.73.
Fiala had 40 points in 56 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Fiala has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Fiala's 1.6.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Fiala's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Hardest shot 94.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, Plus/minus +57, Goals above expected +4.3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kevin Fiala
1.73
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fiala | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.64 | 1.32 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.93 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fiala vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fiala 11G 12A, 86 SOG · MacKinnon 19G 30A, 135 SOG
Fiala's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Fiala's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
Fiala blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Fiala's.
On the ice against each other (Fiala's side)
7:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fiala's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–6
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.6
- 27.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fiala | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | LAK 2–5 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-07 | LAK 1–4 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-03-27 | LAK 0–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-13 | LAK 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2024-01-26 | LAK 1–5 COL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-12-03 | LAK 4–1 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-11 | LAK 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-03-09 | LAK 5–2 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2022-03-27 | MIN 3–2 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-17 | MIN 3–4 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2021-10-30 | MIN 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2021-04-07 | MIN 8–3 COL | 3G 1A 8S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 35 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kevin Fiala
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kevin Fiala or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kevin Fiala's 1.73. Fiala had 40 points in 56 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kevin Fiala or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fiala and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 35 games against each other in our data, Fiala's team went 17–18. Fiala had 23 points (11 goals) and MacKinnon had 49 (19 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Fiala or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Fiala has won 0 and MacKinnon 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →