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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Kaprizov's 2.50.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 681, Luck Meter +52, Top skating speed 24.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovMacKinnon
Goals (+2)1.211.49
Assists (+1)0.530.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.46
Hits (+0.1)0.070.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovMacKinnon
7Team record in 25 meetings18
29Points in those games49

Kaprizov 15G 14A, 65 SOG · MacKinnon 19G 30A, 118 SOG

0Hits on each other1
2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

66:45 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
60–86
41.1%
Expected goals
2.5–3.9
39.5%
Goals
2–7

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreKaprizovMacKinnon
2026-05-13 · POMIN 3–4 COL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 9S
2026-05-11 · POMIN 2–5 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-05-09 · POMIN 5–1 COL1G 2A 4S1G 0A 4S
2026-05-05 · POMIN 2–5 COL1G 0A 4S1G 2A 5S
2026-05-03 · POMIN 6–9 COL0G 1A 1S1G 2A 4S
2026-03-08MIN 2–3 COL1G 0A 4S1G 0A 9S
2026-02-26MIN 5–2 COL0G 2A 3S0G 2A 8S
2025-12-21MIN 1–5 COL0G 1A 3S2G 0A 4S
2025-11-28MIN 3–2 COL2G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2024-04-09MIN 2–5 COL1G 0A 4S3G 1A 10S
2024-04-04MIN 2–5 COL0G 1A 4S1G 2A 5S
2024-03-08MIN 1–2 COL0G 1A 3S0G 2A 6S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Kaprizov's 2.50. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 7–18. Kaprizov had 29 points (15 goals) and MacKinnon had 49 (19 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →