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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.56, Top skating speed 23.4, Hardest shot 88.7.

Barzal's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 210, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Penalty minutes 61.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

2.02

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoBarzal
Goals (+2)0.710.47
Assists (+1)0.530.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.23
Hits (+0.1)0.080.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoBarzal
2Team record in 9 meetings7
6Points in those games11

Marchenko 3G 3A, 21 SOG · Barzal 3G 8A, 21 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Marchenko blocked 1 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 0 of Marchenko's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)

17:40 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side

Shot attempts
20–27
42.6%
Expected goals
1.4–1.9
42.8%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreMarchenkoBarzal
2026-03-22CBJ 0–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-28CBJ 3–4 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-12-28CBJ 4–2 NYI2G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-02CBJ 2–3 NYI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-20CBJ 1–3 NYI0G 1A 2S0G 2A 3S
2024-10-30CBJ 2–0 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-04CBJ 2–4 NYI1G 1A 6S0G 2A 2S
2023-12-07CBJ 3–7 NYI0G 0A 1S2G 2A 5S
2022-12-29CBJ 1–2 NYI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Barzal done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 2–7. Marchenko had 6 points (3 goals) and Barzal had 11 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →