Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Marchenko vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 2.0 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.6.
Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Marchenko's biggest edges: Plus/minus +7, Hardest shot 88.7, Expected goals 52.1%.
Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.4, Forecheck xG /60 0.28.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Marchenko
1.92
fantasy points per game
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchenko | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.25 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchenko 2G 4A, 29 SOG · Rielly 1G 6A, 33 SOG
Marchenko blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 3 of Marchenko's.
On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)
8:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–12
- 52.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.2–0.2
- 83.4%
- Goals
- 3–1
On the ice together
10:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 13–6
- 68.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.1
- 84.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchenko | Rielly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | CBJ 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-29 | CBJ 6–3 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-05 | CBJ 0–5 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-01-22 | CBJ 5–1 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-22 | CBJ 6–2 TOR | 1G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-29 | CBJ 6–5 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2023-12-23 | CBJ 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-14 | CBJ 6–5 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-04 | CBJ 2–4 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 9S |
| 2023-02-11 | CBJ 4–3 TOR | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2023-02-10 | CBJ 0–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.0 pts
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.6 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchenko and Rielly done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 7–4. Marchenko had 6 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 7 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →