Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Marchenko vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.
Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Marchenko's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1024, Top skating speed 23.4, Luck Meter +30.
Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Fenwick 60.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Marchenko
1.92
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchenko | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchenko 10G 3A, 36 SOG · Aho 5G 12A, 46 SOG
Marchenko's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Marchenko's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
Marchenko blocked 0 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Marchenko's.
On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)
5:32 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–1
- 80.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 95.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchenko | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | CBJ 1–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2026-03-31 | CBJ 2–5 CAR | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-03-17 | CBJ 5–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-09 | CBJ 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-23 | CBJ 4–7 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 7S |
| 2024-12-31 | CBJ 4–3 CAR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2024-12-15 | CBJ 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-23 | CBJ 5–4 CAR | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-04-07 | CBJ 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-29 | CBJ 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-26 | CBJ 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-01-12 | CBJ 2–6 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 6S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchenko and Aho done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 4–9. Marchenko had 13 points (10 goals) and Aho had 17 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchenko or Aho?
- Against each other, Marchenko has won 0 and Aho 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →