Who to start · 2025-26
Kyle Connor vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Connor has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.2 ESPN points to Aho's 2.0.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Connor's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Ascension score 58, Luck Meter +36.
Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Fenwick 60.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Connor | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.02 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Connor vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Connor 5G 4A, 33 SOG · Aho 4G 14A, 36 SOG
Connor's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Connor's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19)
Connor blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Connor's.
On the ice against each other (Connor's side)
16:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–16
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.8
- 54.2%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Connor | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | WPG 1–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-03-09 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-02 | WPG 5–3 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-12-04 | WPG 2–1 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-03-14 | WPG 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-21 | WPG 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2022-04-21 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-12-07 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2020-01-21 | WPG 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-17 | WPG 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.2 pts
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kyle Connor or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kyle Connor or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Connor and Aho done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 7–8. Connor had 9 points (5 goals) and Aho had 18 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Connor or Aho?
- Against each other, Connor has won 1 and Aho 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →