Who to start · 2025-26
Kyle Connor vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Connor has 1 game left; Harley has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Kyle Connor has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Connor's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.9, Goals above expected +1.1, Ascension score 57.
Harley's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 148, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Connor | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.02 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Connor vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Connor 9G 11A, 73 SOG · Harley 4G 10A, 45 SOG
Connor blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 3 of Connor's.
On the ice against each other (Connor's side)
20:08 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–16
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.9
- 42.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Connor | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | WPG 0–3 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-02 | WPG 3–4 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-09 | WPG 3–4 DAL | 0G 2A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-09 | WPG 4–5 DAL | 3G 0A 6S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-05-17 · PO | WPG 1–2 DAL | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-05-15 · PO | WPG 4–0 DAL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-13 · PO | WPG 1–3 DAL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-05-11 · PO | WPG 2–5 DAL | 1G 0A 7S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-05-09 · PO | WPG 4–0 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-05-07 · PO | WPG 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | WPG 4–0 DAL | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-14 | WPG 4–1 DAL | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kyle Connor or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kyle Connor or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Connor and Harley done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 7–14. Connor had 20 points (9 goals) and Harley had 14 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →