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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, 20+ mph bursts 162, Hardest shot 90.9.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Blocked shots 33, Forecheck xG /60 0.28, Hits 60.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.22

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.950.61
Assists (+1)0.650.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorTarasenko
17Team record in 27 meetings10
33Points in those games16

Connor 13G 20A, 90 SOG · Tarasenko 9G 7A, 88 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

13:12 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
13–21
38.2%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
56.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreConnorTarasenko
2026-01-15WPG 6–2 MIN0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-27WPG 3–4 MIN1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-28WPG 4–3 MIN1G 0A 4S0G 0A 5S
2025-01-04WPG 2–4 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-20WPG 2–1 OTT0G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S
2023-02-20WPG 4–1 NYR1G 2A 5S0G 1A 3S
2023-01-30WPG 4–2 STL0G 2A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-08WPG 5–2 STL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-10-24WPG 4–0 STL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-13WPG 4–3 STL1G 2A 5S1G 2A 1S
2022-01-29WPG 4–1 STL1G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2021-12-19WPG 4–2 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 17–10. Connor had 33 points (13 goals) and Tarasenko had 16 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →