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Who to start · 2025-26

Lars Eller vs Macklin Celebrini

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.81.

Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Eller has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Eller's 0.9.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Eller's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Forecheck xG /60 0.52, Faceoff win % 54.0%.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Ice time per game 21:19, Ice-time share 35.1%, Goals 45.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lars Eller

0.81

fantasy points per game

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEllerCelebrini
Goals (+2)0.131.03
Assists (+1)0.190.99
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.100.37
Hits (+0.1)0.080.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.270.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Eller vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EllerCelebrini
3Team record in 5 meetings2
3Points in those games7

Eller 0G 3A, 10 SOG · Celebrini 1G 6A, 19 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other3

Eller's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 2–0 · Eller's defensive zone 3–2 (2024-25 to 2026-27)

On the ice against each other (Eller's side)

8:30 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Eller's side

Shot attempts
9–1
90.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.0
99.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Lars Eller and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreEllerCelebrini
2026-10-01FLA 3–4 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 3A 7S
2026-03-15OTT 7–4 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-22OTT 3–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-15WSH 5–1 SJS0G 2A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-03WSH 1–2 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EllerCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lars Eller

3games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA0.9 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Lars Eller or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.81. Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lars Eller or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Eller and Celebrini done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Eller's team went 3–2. Eller had 3 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 7 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Eller or Celebrini?
Against each other, Eller has won 5 and Celebrini 3 of their 8 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →