Who to start · 2025-26
Lars Eller vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.81.
Eller had 15 points in 68 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Eller has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Eller's 0.9.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Eller's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Ascension score 57, Forecheck xG /60 0.52.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Ice time per game 22:16, Ice-time share 36.6%, Goals 53.
Head to head on the dot, Eller leads MacKinnon 27–27.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Lars Eller
0.81
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Eller | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.13 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.19 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Eller vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Eller 2G 3A, 32 SOG · MacKinnon 6G 15A, 57 SOG
Eller's offensive zone 5–2 · neutral 8–9 · Eller's defensive zone 14–16 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Eller's side)
2:37 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Eller's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–5
- 16.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 4.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Eller | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-08 | OTT 2–8 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 3A 5S |
| 2024-11-21 | WSH 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-15 | WSH 5–2 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-24 | PIT 4–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 6S |
| 2023-10-26 | PIT 4–0 COL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-24 | WSH 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-19 | WSH 0–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-18 | WSH 3–2 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-19 | WSH 6–3 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2020-02-13 | WSH 3–2 COL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 9S |
| 2019-10-14 | WSH 3–6 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Lars Eller
3games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA0.9 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Lars Eller or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.81. Eller had 15 points in 68 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Lars Eller or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Eller and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Eller's team went 9–7. Eller had 5 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 21 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Eller or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Eller has won 27 and MacKinnon 27 of their 54 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →