Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leon Draisaitl's 2.96.

Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Draisaitl has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Draisaitl's 2.0.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Ascension score 69, Faceoff win % 56.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.077.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.83, Blocked shots 35, On-ice PDO 1054.

Head to head on the dot, Draisaitl leads MacKinnon 72–56.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDraisaitlMacKinnon
Goals (+2)1.191.49
Assists (+1)0.960.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.340.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.46
Hits (+0.1)0.050.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Draisaitl vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DraisaitlMacKinnon
10Team record in 24 meetings14
33Points in those games34

Draisaitl 5G 28A, 72 SOG · MacKinnon 15G 19A, 137 SOG

72Faceoffs against each other56

Draisaitl's offensive zone 23–28 · neutral 25–12 · Draisaitl's defensive zone 24–16 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other4
2Shots blocked by the other2

Draisaitl blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Draisaitl's.

2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Draisaitl's side)

9:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Draisaitl's side

Shot attempts
17–9
65.4%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
59.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Leon Draisaitl and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreDraisaitlMacKinnon
2026-03-10EDM 4–3 COL0G 2A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-08EDM 1–9 COL0G 1A 1S2G 2A 6S
2025-02-07EDM 4–5 COL2G 0A 3S1G 3A 7S
2025-01-16EDM 4–3 COL0G 2A 3S2G 0A 3S
2024-11-30EDM 4–1 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 7S
2024-04-05EDM 6–2 COL0G 2A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-03-16EDM 2–3 COL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 6S
2023-04-11EDM 2–1 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 7S
2023-02-19EDM 5–6 COL1G 0A 4S1G 2A 9S
2023-01-07EDM 2–3 COL0G 2A 0S1G 1A 11S
2022-06-06 · POEDM 5–6 COL0G 4A 4S1G 0A 7S
2022-06-04 · POEDM 2–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DraisaitlMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Leon Draisaitl or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leon Draisaitl's 2.96. Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leon Draisaitl or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Draisaitl and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Draisaitl's team went 10–14. Draisaitl had 33 points (5 goals) and MacKinnon had 34 (15 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Draisaitl or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Draisaitl has won 72 and MacKinnon 56 of their 128 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →