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Who to start · 2025-26

Leon Draisaitl vs Thomas Harley

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.

Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Draisaitl has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Draisaitl's 2.0.

Leon Draisaitl has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Ascension score 69, Goals above expected +1.8, Fenwick 54.4%.

Harley's biggest edges: Blocked shots 148, Transition attempts /60 0.36, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leon Draisaitl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDraisaitlHarley
Goals (+2)1.190.16
Assists (+1)0.960.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.340.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Draisaitl vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DraisaitlHarley
10Team record in 18 meetings8
19Points in those games9

Draisaitl 6G 13A, 31 SOG · Harley 1G 8A, 27 SOG

2Hits on each other4
3Shots blocked by the other1

Draisaitl blocked 3 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Draisaitl's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Draisaitl's side)

15:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Draisaitl's side

Shot attempts
19–14
57.6%
Expected goals
1.1–0.9
54.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Leon Draisaitl and Thomas Harley
DateScoreDraisaitlHarley
2026-03-12EDM 2–7 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-04EDM 3–4 DAL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-29 · POEDM 6–3 DAL0G 2A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-05-27 · POEDM 4–1 DAL1G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-05-25 · POEDM 6–1 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-23 · POEDM 3–0 DAL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-05-21 · POEDM 3–6 DAL1G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-08EDM 5–4 DAL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 5S
2024-10-19EDM 1–4 DAL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-06-02 · POEDM 2–1 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-31 · POEDM 3–1 DAL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-05-29 · POEDM 5–2 DAL1G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DraisaitlHarley

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Leon Draisaitl or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leon Draisaitl or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leon Draisaitl leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Draisaitl and Harley done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Draisaitl's team went 10–8. Draisaitl had 19 points (6 goals) and Harley had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →