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Who to start · 2025-26

Lucas Raymond vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78.

Raymond had 76 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Raymond has 1 game left; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Raymond for 2.0 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Raymond's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.93, Hardest shot 90.5, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60.

Barzal's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 210, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Penalty minutes 61.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lucas Raymond

1.88

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Lucas Raymond has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRaymondBarzal
Goals (+2)0.630.47
Assists (+1)0.640.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.23
Hits (+0.1)0.050.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Raymond vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RaymondBarzal
6Team record in 11 meetings5
7Points in those games12

Raymond 2G 5A, 18 SOG · Barzal 4G 8A, 35 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Raymond blocked 0 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 1 of Raymond's.

On the ice against each other (Raymond's side)

18:36 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Raymond's side

Shot attempts
24–15
61.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.4
67.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Lucas Raymond and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreRaymondBarzal
2025-12-16DET 3–2 NYI0G 3A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-20DET 0–5 NYI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-23DET 2–7 NYI0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2024-10-22DET 1–0 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-03-21DET 6–3 NYI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 7S
2024-02-29DET 3–5 NYI0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2023-10-30DET 4–3 NYI1G 1A 3S0G 1A 6S
2023-01-27DET 0–2 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-05DET 3–0 NYI1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-24DET 2–5 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S
2021-12-04DET 4–3 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RaymondBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lucas Raymond

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Lucas Raymond or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78. Raymond had 76 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lucas Raymond or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Raymond and Barzal done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Raymond's team went 6–5. Raymond had 7 points (2 goals) and Barzal had 12 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →